Shivbakhtabruce (publius_aelius) wrote in change_history,
Shivbakhtabruce
publius_aelius
change_history

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La Chute de l'Ancien Regime

robesdusacre/

Here’s a question related to the French Revolution:

What if the Bourbons had succeeded in fleeing either to the Austrian Netherlands, or to one of the border fortresses of Metz or Montmedy?

Or, conversely, what if Louis XVI had NOT allowed himself to be persuaded by his wife to flee Paris?

Would civil war have prevented the Revolution from becoming consolidated by foreign military adventures, leading to an eventual restoration of the absolute monarchy, or, conversely, if the sovereign hadn’t fled his capital, would France have adopted a constitutional monarchy, similar to Britain’s?

louisauguillotine/
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  • 3 comments

Anonymous

October 30 2006, 00:37:16 UTC 10 years ago

He's wearing our drapes!

Dangerous Bill
This could have other concequences as well for large portions of N. american geography. Would the resulting monarchy have been amenable to the US's offer for Louisiana (Napoleon needed the money)?
if the sovereign hadn’t fled his capital, would France have adopted a constitutional monarchy, similar to Britain’s?

At the beginning of the Revolution, no one in France even dreamed of abolishing the monarchy. People wanted a constitutional monarchy, and Britain was a big model for the French.

But when Louis XVI tried to flee Paris and France, that's when he took his first step leading to the guillotine.

So, a Louis XVI who would have fled in the night and come back helped by foreign enemies? Unforgivable. I don't think the monarchy would have held in the long term.

I think that sooner or later, there would have been a second revolution - a bit like the one who threw out Charles X, youngest brother of Louis XVI, and his two sons in 1830. After the Orléans monarchy, France was again a republic, shortly in 1848 for a couple of years, and definitely after 1870.